Ashby Dunbar

Career Batting:.279 BA .339 OBP .362 SLG. 13 HR. 7,172 PA.(1906-1920)

Ashby Dunbar is an interesting case, largely because our instincts of what constitutes a valuable player are so conditioned by the context of play at that time.

Dunbar was clearly a valuable offensive player, and in a few years an extraordinarily valuable one. But a valuable hitter in 1910 could still have an OPS under .700, and an .820 OPS in 1912 was a potential all star. Dunbar’s career was hampered by a late start, but he was a full time player from 1907 through 1918, with a couple decline years at the very end.

Throughout that time, Dunbar hit well for average with a lot of gap power, indeed edging towards the league leaderboards in doubles a few times. He wasn’t very fast, and that showed in a below-average triples rate, especially for someone with his power. His eye for the strike zone was adequate, improving as he aged: all in all, a good offensive cog for about a decade.

Dunbar was below average defensively, with his lack of speed impacting his range and a mediocre arm at best. He did stick around in CF and RF throughout his career, which means he must have at least passed the “eye test,” so it’s possible his defense was better than the numbers would indicate.

Dunbar could have been out of the game in 1917, as he had a few decline years in a row and was 37. But he hit will in 1918 and 1919, so we’ve extended his career to the ripe old age of 40.

I think Dunbar’s overall numbers are good in this projection, but I wouldn’t be surprised if their composition changed. He’s currently modeled as an elite doubles hitter which is plausible. But I could also see spreading some of that out, giving him more triples and even a few more homeruns over his career, while the overall OPS stays roughly consistent.

NameAshby Dunbar
ID / Statusdunba01ash / Draft
PosOF
DOB / i9s Career10/15/1879 / 1906 - 1920
BirthplaceCharlottesville, VA (USA)
Height / Weight /
B / T /

 

Batting Projections

YearABH2B3BHRBBSOSBCSBAOBPSLGOPS
19062478913422223125.360.413.470.883
190749413122413944236.265.319.332.651
1908534172321123952417.322.368.434.802
190948111923404144187.247.307.312.619
191051513728304266208.266.321.332.653
191152414125404258219.269.323.332.655
1912509161328252582311.316.380.422.802
191350711529814264387.227.286.321.607
1914551155387254766011.281.345.387.732
191552012731405060169.244.311.319.630
191648312226914053156.253.310.350.660
19173478017204635154.231.321.291.612
191842213819204334167.327.389.382.771
191934612423223833135.358.422.454.876
1920962240061222.229.275.271.546
TOTALS6,5761,8333627213596712333104.279.339.362.701

 

Pitching Projections